The Pollster Who Predicted Trump Thinks Geert Wilders Could Win Too

One of the only polls to predict Donald Trump’s victory caught even its creator by surprise. Arie Kapteyn, an economist at USC, ran the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Presidential Election Daybreak Poll, which consistently said Trump would become president of the United States, even when most other polls did not. (He did.) It also predicted Trump would win the popular vote. (He didn’t.)